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Evaluation of Interventions for Climate Change Adaptation: Portfolio and Allocation Analysis

The report is part of the modular evaluation of interventions for climate change adaptation. It evaluates the German Federal Government’s adaptation-related official development assistance (ODA). The report focusses on the relevance and coherence of Germany’s international adaptation portfolio. The report was completed in 2019.


The methodological approach is based on a macro-quantitative portfolio and allocation analysis. The evaluation combines methods of statistical data analysis with a document study and qualitative interviews.

Findings and Recommendations

The goals that the Federal Government has set itself for its commitment to climate policy are consistent with international agreements such as the Paris Climate Agreement and the 2030 Agenda for sustainable development.

In 2020, it increased its annual budget for climate finance to four billion euros. When implementing interventions, the Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development should strive to pay greater attention to the priorities of the partner countries and get civil society to implement a greater proportion of the funds.

The more vulnerable to climate change a country is, the more likely it is to receive fund commitments from Germany for adaptation interventions.

However, countries that are particularly affected do not always receive higher commitments. Contrary to the Federal Government’s claims, small island developing states, which are often particularly severely affected by the consequences of climate change, benefit more rarely and to a lesser extent from the funds than other countries. In future, climate vulnerability should play an even greater role in decisions regarding the assignment of funds.

Germany has a greater commitment and provides more funds in countries where numerous other donors are already actively involved in climate change adaptation.

This contradicts the desired division of labour in international cooperation. In addition, this concentration of funds leads to a risk of leaving countries that are much in need of aid as “aid orphans”. Germany should advocate a more appropriate international division of labour in this respect.


The evaluation was completed in 2019. This is a summary of the results and recommendations; you can find the complete results and recommendations in the report.


Portrait von Dr. Martin Noltze
© DEval

Dr Martin Noltze

Senior Evaluator - Team Leader

Phone: +49 (0)228 336907-934

E-mail: martin.noltze@DEval.org

Portrait von Dr. Sven Harten
© DEval

Dr Sven Harten

Head of Competence Centre for Evaluation Methodology / Deputy Director

Phone: +49 (0)228 336907-950

E-mail: sven.harten@DEval.org

The Modular Evaluation of Interventions for Climate Change Adaptation

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