Publications

Globale Lieferketten sind – insbesondere im Textilsektor – von zahlreichen sozialen und ökologischen Nachhaltigkeitsherausforderungen gekennzeichnet. Das Bewusstsein hierfür ist in der Öffentlichkeit durch Unglücke wie den Brand in der Textilfabrik Ali Enterprises in Pakistan 2012 oder den Einsturz der Textilfabrik Rana Plaza in Bangladesch 2013 gestiegen. Das Bundesministerium für wirtschaftliche Zusammenarbeit und Entwicklung (BMZ) hat sich das Ziel gesetzt, faire und nachhaltige globale Textillieferketten zu fördern. Daher hat das Deutsche Evaluierungsinstitut der Entwicklungszusammenarbeit (DEval) das Zusammenspiel von Instrumenten und Maßnahmen der deutschen Entwicklungszusammenarbeit (EZ) zur Förderung nachhaltiger globaler Lieferketten im Textilsektor untersucht. In diesem Policy Brief werden die Ergebnisse und Empfehlungen der Evaluierung vorgestellt.

• Heucher, A., A. zu Eulenburg, J. Ihl und M. Kiefer (2023), Die Förderung nachhaltiger Lieferketten am Beispiel des Textilsektors: Der Instrumenten-Mix der deutschen Entwicklungszusammenarbeit, DEval Policy Brief 10/2023, Deutsches Evaluierungsinstitut der Entwicklungszusammenarbeit (DEval), Bonn.

Development funds are essential to finance climate change adaptation and are thus an important part of international climate policy. How ever, the absence of a common reporting practice makes it difficult to assess the amount and distribution of such funds. Research has questioned the credibility of reported figures, indicating that adaptation financing is in fact lower than published figures suggest. Projects claiming a greater relevance to climate change adaptation than they target are referred to as “overreported”. To estimate realistic rates of overreporting in large data sets over times, we propose an approach based on state-of-the-art text classification. Additionally, we propose a method that incorporates evidence of smaller, higher-quality data to correct predicted rates using Bayes’ theorem. This enables a comparison of different annotation schemes to estimate the degree of overreporting in climate change adaptation. 

• The article in ACL Anthology

• Borst, J., T. Wencker and A. Niekler (2023), "Constructing a Credible Estimation for Overreporting of Climate Adaptation Funds in the Creditor Reporting System", Proceedings of the 7th Joint SIGHUM Workshop on Computational Linguistics for Cultural Heritage, Social Sciences, Humanities and Literature, pp. 99–109, Dubrovnik, Croatia: Association for Computational Linguistics.

This paper presents a comprehensive river discharge analysis to estimate past and future hydrological extremes across Morocco. Hydrological simulations with historical forcing and climate change scenario inputs have been performed to better understand the change in magnitude and frequency of extreme discharge events that cause flooding. Simulations are applied to all major rivers of Morocco, including a total of 16 basins that cover the majority of the country. An ensemble of temperature and precipitation input parameter sets was generated to analyze input uncertainty, an approach that can be extended to other regions of the world, including data-sparse regions. Parameter uncertainty was also included in the analyses. Historical simulations comprise the period 1979–2021, while future simulations (2015–2100) were performed under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 2–4.5 and SSP5–8.5. Clear patterns of changing flood extremes are projected; these changes are significant when considered as a proportion of the land area of the country. Two types of basins have been identified, based on their different behavior in climate change scenarios. In the Northern/Mediterranean basins we observe a decrease in the frequency and intensity of events by 2050 under both SSPs, whereas for the remaining catchments higher and more frequent high-flow events in the form of flash floods are detected. Our analysis revealed that this is a consequence of the reduction in rainfall accumulation and intensity in both SSPs for the first type of basins, while the opposite applies to the other type. More generally, we propose a methodology that does not rely on observed time series of discharge, so especially for regions where those do not exist or are not available, and that can be applied to undertake future flood projections in the most data-scarce regions. This method allows future hydrological hazards to be estimated for essentially any region of the world.

• External Link

• Giustarini, L.; Schumann, G.J.-P.; Kettner, A.J.; Smith, A.; Nawrotzki, R. Simulating Changes in Hydrological Extremes—Future Scenarios for Morocco. Water 2023, 15, 2722.

Human rights are a "guiding principle" and "quality criterion" of the work of Germany's Federal Ministry for Economic Cooperation and Development (BMZ). This strategy is based on a human rights-based approach (HRBA) that has been comprehensively assessed for the first time in this evaluation. The second part of the evaluation looks at the mainstreaming of human rights standards and principles in bilateral projects of German development cooperation and at the effectiveness of these efforts in partner countries in terms of human rights.

• Executive Summary (PDF, 3.44 MB)
• Deutsche Zusammenfassung (PDF, 3.32 MB)
• To the BMZ Response
• To the Human Rights Report Series This Publication is Part of the Human Rights Report Series

• Polak, J.T., A. Heucher, L. Smidt and L. Taube (2022), Human Rights in German Development Policy Part 2: Implementation and effectiveness of the human rights-based approach in the area of intervention ‘Private sector and financial system development’, German Institute for Development Evaluation (DEval), Bonn.

Fragile Staaten gelten als der anspruchsvollste Kontext für eine wirksame und nachhaltige Entwicklungszusammenarbeit (EZ). Vor diesem Hintergrund fasst dieser Themenschwerpunktbericht wesentliche Erkenntnisse DEval´s Evaluierungsarbeit zusammen, ergänzt um Beiträge von renommierten Entscheidungstragenden und Expert*innen aus Wissenschaft, Politik und Implementierungspraxis. Wir hoffen, dass diese Erkenntnisse und Erfahrungen von Nützlichkeit sind und einen Beitrag zu Verbesserungen in unserem Politikfeld leisten werden.

• Faust, J., A. Kocks, T. Wencker (Hrsg.) (2023), Unter erschwerten Bedingungen. Entwicklungszusammenarbeit in fragilen Staaten, Themenschwerpunktbericht, Deutsches Evaluierungsinstitut der Entwicklungszusammenarbeit (DEval), Bonn