Deutsche Evaluierungsinstitut der Entwicklungszusammenarbeit
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Dr Raphael Nawrotzki

Current evaluations

Key qualifications

  • Linkage of survey data and geographical information
  • Statistical modelling of population – environment dynamics
  • The study of human migration
  • Quantitative social science research
  • Programming in R and Python
  • Regional focus: Latin America

Curriculum Vitae

Dr Raphael Nawrotzki has been working as evaluator for the Competence Centre for Evaluation Methodologies (CCEM) at DEval since November 2018. Before joining DEval, he worked as a researcher for the Institute of Behavioral Sciences of the University of Colorado (USA), the National Center for Atmospheric Research (USA), and the Minnesota Population Center (USA). Substantively, Dr Nawrotzki’s work centers on the study of the impact of global climate change on migration patterns in developing countries. The use of geographic information to measure environmental change and impacts as well as the statistical modeling of demographic processes are Dr Nawrotzki’s methodological key specialties.

Selected Publications

Riosmena, F., Nawrotzki, R. J., & Hunter, L. M. (2018), "Climate Migration at the Height and End of the Great Mexican Migration Era", Population and Development Review 44(3), 455-488, DOI: 10.1111/padr.12158.

Kerle, N., Ghaffarian, S., Nawrotzki, R., Leppert, G., & Lech, M. (2019). "Evaluating resilience-centered development interventions with remote sensing". Remote Sensing 11(21), 2511. DOI: 10.3390/rs11212511.

Nawrotzki, R. J., & DeWaard, J. (2018), "Putting trapped populations into place: Climate change and inter-district migration flows in Zambia", Regional Environmental Change 18(2), 533-546. DOI: 10.1007/s10113-017-1224-3.

Nawrotzki, R. J., & Bakhtsiyarava, M. (2017), "International climate migration: Evidence for the climate inhibitor mechanism and the agricultural pathway", Population, Space & Place 23(4), 1-25. DOI: 10.1002/psp.2033 [News coverage: MPC Blog, July 21, 2016].

Hunter, L. M., Leyk, S., MacLaurin, G. J., Nawrotzki, R. J., Twine, W., Erasmus, B. F. N., & Collinson, M. (2017), "Variation by geographic scale in the migration-environment association: Evidence from rural South Africa", Comparative Population Studies 42, 117-148. DOI: 10.12765/CPoS-2017-11en.

Bakhtsiyarava, M., Grace, K., & Nawrotzki, R. J. (2017), "Climate, birth weight, and agricultural livelihoods in Kenya and Mali", American Journal of Public Health, e1-e7. DOI: 10.2105/AJPH.2017.304128.

Bakhtsiyarava, M., & Nawrotzki, R. J. (2017), "Environmental inequality and pollution advantage among immigrants in the United States", Applied Geography 81, 60-60. DOI: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2017.02.013.

Leyk, S., Runfola, D. M., Nawrotzki, R. J., Hunter, L. M., & Riosmena, F. (2017), "Internal and international mobility as adaptation to climatic variability in contemporary Mexico: Evidence from the integration of census and satellite data", Population, Space & Place 23(6), 1-15. DOI: 10.1002/psp.2047.

Nawrotzki, R. J., DeWaard, J., Bakhtsiyarava, M., & Ha, J. T. (2017), "Climate shocks and rural-urban migration in Mexico: Exploring nonlinearities and thresholds", Climatic Change 140(2), 243-258. DOI: 10.1007/s10584-016-1849-0.

Nawrotzki, R. J., Runfola, D. M., Hunter, L. M., and Riosmena, F. (2016), "Domestic and international climate migration from rural Mexico", Human Ecology 44(6), 687-699. DOI: 10.1007/s10745-016-9859-0.

Nawrotzki, R. J., Schlak, A. M., & Kugler, T. A. (2016), "Climate, migration, and the local food security context: Introducing Terra Populus", Population and Environment 38(2), 164-184, DOI: 10.1007/s11111-016-0260-0.

Nawrotzki, R. J., & DeWaard, J. (2016), "Climate Shocks and the Timing of Migration from Mexico", Population and Environment 38(1), 72-100. DOI: 10.1007/s11111-016-0255-x [News coverage: PewResearchCenter, April 8, 2016].

Runfola, D. M., Romero-Lankao, P., Jiang, L., Hunter, L. M., Nawrotzki, R. J., & Sanchez, L. (2016), "The Influence of internal migration on exposure to extreme weather events in Mexico", Society and Natural Resources 29(6), 750-754. DOI: 10.1080/08941920.2015.1076918.

Nawrotzki, R. J., Riosmena, F., Hunter, L. M., & Runfola, D. M. (2015), "Undocumented migration in response to climate change", International Journal of Population Studies 1(1), 60-74. DOI: 10.18063/IJPS.2015.01.004.

Nawrotzki, R. J., Hunter, L. M., Runfola, D. M., Riosmena, F. (2015), "Climate change as migration driver from rural and urban Mexico", Environmental Research Letters 10(11), 114023. DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/114023 [News coverage: Environmental Research Web, May 17, 2016; Honors: article included in IOP Select, December 17, 2015].

Nawrotzki, R. J., Riosmena, F., Hunter, L. M., & Runfola, D. M. (2015), "Amplification or suppression: Social networks and the climate change – migration association in rural Mexico", Global Environmental Change 35, 463-474. DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.09.002.

Nawrotzki, R. J., & Jiang, L. (2015), "Indirectly estimating international net migration flows by age and gender: The Community Demographic Model International Migration (CDM-IM) dataset", Historical Methods 48(3), 113-127. DOI: 10.1080/01615440.2014.999150.

Tanner, T., Lewis, D., Wrathall, D., Bronen, R., Cradock-Henry, N., Huq, S., Lawless, C., Nawrotzki, R. J., Prasad, V., Ashiqur Rahman, M., Alaniz, R., King, K., McNamara, K., Nadiruzzaman, M., Henly-Shepard, S., and Thomalla, F. (2015), "Livelihood resilience in the face of climate change", Nature Climate Change 5, 23-26. DOI: 10.1038/nclimate2431.

Guedes, G. R., Nawrotzki, R. J., & Carmo, R. L. (2014), "Percepción y preocupación ambiental en distintas regiones metropolitanas del Brasil: eslabones perdidos y evidencia adicional", Notas de Población (No. 99), 133-175.

Hunter, L. M., Nawrotzki, R. J., Leyk, S., MacLaurin, G. J., Twine, W., Collinson, M., & Erasmus, B. (2014), "Rural outmigration, natural capital, and livelihoods in South Africa. Population Space and Place 20(5), 402-420. DOI: 10.1002/psp.1776.

Nawrotzki, R. J., Robson, K., Gutilla, M. J., Hunter, L. M., Twine, W., & Norlund, P. (2014), "Exploring the impact of the 2008 global food crisis on food security among vulnerable households in rural South Africa", Food Security 6(2), 283-297. DOI: 10.1007/s12571-014-0336-6.